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Sunday, August 5, 2007

Opponent's big bet was clue that his hand was vulnerable

When trying to decide whether you have the best hand at the moment or might draw to it by the river, you need to compare the amount of the bet to the pot and the amount of that same bet to your stack. Women poker.

Sometimes the math forces you to fold. But sometimes you find an opportunity. With blinds at $50-$100 at the $25,000-buy-in World Poker Tour Championship at Las Vegas' Bellagio in 2006, colorful pro Kenna James limped from early position with K-3 of clubs. A player in middle position also limped. The player on the button raised to $350. The big blind called, as did James and the player in the middle. The flop came A-10-9, two clubs, giving James the second-nut flush draw. Everyone checked to the player on the button, who bet $1,000. The big blind folded. James called. The middle player folded.

"We're playing deep-stack poker tournament (starting with $50,000 in chips for the $25,000 buy-in)," James said, "but it is a little dangerous to be drawing to something that isn't the nuts, because even when you make your hand, it's tough to bet for value because it's possible the guy had a pair of aces with the nut-flush ace.

"But he bet too strong to have that big of a hand ($1,000 into a pot worth about $1,400). That's why I called."

If the button had aces with the nut ace, he likely would have bet about half the pot in an attempt to keep James in the hand. Instead, the bet of more than two-thirds of the pot told James that his opponent was trying to protect a vulnerable hand. Download poker wallpapers.

"I figured my flush, if I made it, would be good," James said.

The turn came the 3 of spades, giving James a pair of 3s with his flush draw. James checked. The button bet $5,000.

"I knew he had some kind of hand. But now a king, a 3 or a club on the end would still make my hand, so that's why, when he bet big on the turn, I called. Play $500 match poker bonus.

"I had $55,000 in my stack, so his bet was only (about) 10 percent of my stack. It's all relative to your stack. You'll see people who have $300,000 who might call $20,000 with J-8 because it's all relative to the stack. If I had $15,000 and it was a $5,000 bet, then yeah, I wouldn't call a third of my chips in that spot. I'm also hoping I'll win something on the river."

The river came the queen of clubs, making James' flush. He bet $10,000. His opponent folded. Play online poker.

"If I had bet smaller, it would look like a value bet and I wouldn't have gotten paid off," James said. "I threw the one $10,000 chip in there because sometimes people are careless with one chip and forget the value of $10,000 in one chip."

Poker News Source: The Arizona Republic

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